sgeboers
d05ec40584
fix(overton): address 6 substantive audit findings across all report surfaces
- NSC sensitivity: only 3.1% of CS surge attributable to NSC inclusion
- Submitter parsing: opposition-only d=0.85 likely inflated (~0.65-0.75)
- Mechanism taxonomy: relabeled as exploratory (kappa=0.41, 50.5% agreement)
- Causal claims: softened from 'refuted' to 'less consistent with data'
- 2026 reversion: material moderation persisted but shock was primary driver
- Placeholder contamination: r=0.43 drops to r=0.34 without 6K (1,1) defaults