Two related bugs fixed:
1. Label alignment: Removed static left_pole/right_pole from SVD_THEMES
entries. These labels assumed a fixed flip direction but could mismatch
with runtime flip computation, causing right-wing parties to appear on
the wrong side. Labels are now always derived from positive_pole,
negative_pole, and the runtime flip direction.
2. Score mismatch: Changed tijdtraject view for components 3-10 from
load_party_scores_all_windows_aligned() to load_party_scores_all_windows().
Procrustes alignment rotates the full 50-dim vector space to align
components 1-2, but this also transforms components 3-10, making their
scores incomparable with the single-window view. Per-window flip
computation already handles orientation alignment for these components.
Also updated svd_labels.py to prefer analysis.config as the canonical
source for SVD_THEMES, falling back to explorer only when config is
unavailable.
Key findings:
- Coalition started losing votes structurally from 2019
- Not that 'right' won, but that government lost
- Added government_win_rate.png visualization
- Updated analysis with party vote counts
- Add polarization_analysis.png: spread over time for all axes
- Add axis1_deep_dive.png: focus on Axis 1 (coalition vs opposition)
- Add Dutch blog post on parliamentary polarization findings
- Add script to find motions closest to semantic gravity per axis/window
- Document Axis 1 semantic shift: from administrative law (2016)
to migration/asylum policy (2026)
- Shows that 'coalition' votes on different topics over time
- Implement SVD axis stability using Lasso regression on fused embeddings
- Add overtone shift analysis to detect semantic content changes
- Implement semantic drift tracking for motion content over time
- Add party voting analysis with cross-ideological voting patterns
- Generate markdown report with visualizations
- Add comprehensive test suite with 12 passing tests
See reports/drift/report.md for analysis results.
- Add compute_overtone_shift(): tracks semantic gravity movement across windows
even when party ordering stays the same
- Update _generate_report() with overtone shift section including dimension-level
analysis and inflection point detection
- Update methodology section to reflect new metrics
- All 12 tests pass
Key finding: no axes exceed 0.7 stability threshold — semantic features
defining each SVD axis shift significantly across windows (0.06-0.51 range)
- Replace Procrustes-based stability with Ridge regression on fused embeddings
- For each SVD axis, fit Ridge: SVD_score ~ fused_embedding per window
- Compare weight vectors via max(cosine similarity, Jaccard top-100)
- Add --regression-alpha CLI argument (default 1.0)
- Keep party-based fallback for windows with < 50 motions
- Update tests for new regression-based approach
Key finding: regression weights show moderate stability (0.06-0.51)
but no axes exceed 0.7 threshold — semantic features defining each
axis shift significantly across windows
- Add scripts/motion_drift.py: analyzes SVD axis stability, semantic drift,
and cross-ideological voting patterns across annual windows
- Add analysis/motion_drift.py: core analysis functions with Procrustes
alignment fallback using party-based sign consistency
- Add matplotlib dependency for static chart generation
- Add tests/test_motion_drift.py: 12 tests covering all analysis functions
- Report output: markdown with embedded PNG charts
Key findings from real data:
- No axes are fully stable (>0.7) across 2019-2026
- All axes show moderate consistency (0.40-0.47) — stable within periods
but flip between cabinet periods (2019/2022/2026 vs 2023/2024/2025)
- Party voting analysis detects cross-ideological voting patterns
- refactoring-streamlit-data-loading.md: update test count
164/164 → 173/173 (7 new axis validation tests added)
- svd-component-labels-mismatch.md: SVD_THEMES moved from
explorer.py:434-611 → analysis/config.py:67+ per the
refactoring that extracted constants to analysis/config.py
- Add CANONICAL_RIGHT (PVV, FVD, JA21, SGP) and CANONICAL_LEFT frozensets
to analysis/config.py as the canonical source of truth
- Update analysis/svd_labels.py to import from config; re-export as
RIGHT_PARTIES/LEFT_PARTIES for backward compatibility
- Add build_window_party_scores helper to analysis/explorer_data.py
- Add 7 integration tests in tests/test_axis_political_orientation.py
validating that canonical right parties appear on the right side of SVD
axes (x=component 1, y=component 2) using real DuckDB data
- Add AGENTS.md with documented solutions reference
- Include SVD label convention (right-wing parties on right side)
- Document SVD insight: labels reflect voting patterns, not semantics
- Fix SQL verification example to use Python approach
The component captures voting unity of the right-wing coalition vs left
opposition, NOT semantic content like 'defense' or 'EU integration'.
Motions about elderly care (Dobbe) appear because the left votes for them
while the right coalition votes against - this is coalition-opposition
polarization, not policy domain.
Bug: report_per_component used scored[:args.report_top_n] which took
top N by score (all positive for components with only positive scores).
JSON correctly separated positive and negative poles.
Fix: Use same positive/negative separation logic for report as JSON.
- Each motion now assigned to exactly one component (highest absolute score)
- Added --exclusive flag (default: True) for backward compatibility
- Added markdown report generation with motion details for label review
- Added --report-top-n for report size (default: 20 per component)
- Updated JSON output with 'exclusive' flag for transparency
- Add Dutch paragraph explaining Rice index and party discipline patterns
- Analysis covers high discipline parties (PVV, SGP) vs lower discipline parties
- Explains what discipline reveals about party dynamics
- Add _load_mp_vectors_by_party_for_window() to load SVD vectors for specific windows
- Add load_party_axis_scores_for_window() cached function
- Add year selector UI for components 3-10 similar to components 1-2
- Uses get_uniform_dim_windows() to get available windows
- Changed _render_party_axis_chart_1d from horizontal bar chart to scatter plot
- Same format as components 1-2: markers on horizontal line with axis arrows- Axis labels now show correct direction with arrows (← left | right →)
- Ensures consistent visualization across all SVD components
sgeboers