Commit Graph
164 Commits
Author SHA1 Message Date
sgeboers ffd8b191ef fix: use annual-only windows for SVD to restore EVR (~20% PC1)
Quarterly windows (29 of 41 total) diluted PC1 explained variance ratio
from ~20% down to ~14.6%. The fix splits the vector collection loop into:
- pca_vecs: annual windows only (re.match r'^\d{4}$') -> M_pca used for SVD
- all_vecs: every window -> M used for projections onto derived axes

Centering for SVD and global_mean for projection both now use M_pca.mean(axis=0)
so axes are consistent. Falls back to all windows if no annual windows exist.
2026-03-29 20:12:24 +02:00
sgeboers 2cca1000ca refactor: move _render_axis_motions to module level 2026-03-29 19:43:13 +02:00
sgeboers ab9b91e4a8 fix: close duckdb connections safely, swap x/y_axis vectors, fix EVR caption after axis swap 2026-03-29 19:42:22 +02:00
sgeboers ea3c68ece9 refactor: extract _render_axis_motions helper, use literal emoji in expander 2026-03-29 19:37:26 +02:00
sgeboers 37300f2c4e feat: add motion expander to compass tab — shows top motions per axis 2026-03-29 19:34:45 +02:00
sgeboers 9d219d63ee test: add neither-axis-LR edge case + document swap pass-through 2026-03-29 19:33:09 +02:00
sgeboers 74b3f10d07 feat: add axis swap — left-right goes on horizontal axis when detected 2026-03-29 19:29:32 +02:00
sgeboers 95c5ab9302 fix: generate interpretation string when motion path wins without ideology 2026-03-29 19:26:43 +02:00
sgeboers 1ff280e0e3 feat: restructure classify_axes — motion projection as primary label source 2026-03-29 19:20:56 +02:00
sgeboers 62daad321e fix: add outer exception handling to motion helpers in axis_classifier 2026-03-29 19:18:33 +02:00
sgeboers 96224be6ee feat: add motion-loading helpers to axis_classifier 2026-03-29 19:16:57 +02:00
sgeboers 1e52a8a8cc fix: deterministic tie handling and regex matching in _classify_from_titles 2026-03-29 19:15:31 +02:00
sgeboers 71e4b68926 fix: correct docstring for _classify_from_titles return value 2026-03-29 15:00:08 +02:00
sgeboers f8d9af7d9d feat: add _classify_from_titles keyword classifier to axis_classifier 2026-03-29 14:57:19 +02:00
sgeboers 6c4dd81723 feat: expose global_mean in compute_2d_axes axes dict 2026-03-29 14:50:05 +02:00
sgeboers 93a2287c04 docs: add motion-driven axis labeling implementation plan 2026-03-29 14:36:28 +02:00
sgeboers 9dcf6201bb Add design spec for motion-driven axis labeling
Replaces static ideology CSV as primary axis classification signal with
per-year motion projection + Dutch keyword classifier. Adds axis-swap
logic so left-right is conventionally on X when present. Adds Option C
UI expander showing top motions per axis pole.
2026-03-29 14:19:54 +02:00
sgeboers 392fd3afce fix: add per-window X-axis orientation correction
The global PCA X-axis flip uses centroids averaged across all windows,
which can leave individual windows with left/right inverted (e.g. PvdA
appearing right of VVD in 2020). Mirror the existing per-window Y-axis
correction to also check and flip X values per window.
2026-03-29 01:15:21 +01:00
sgeboers 34c08a40fa feat: use dynamic axis labels in compass and trajectories UI
Replace hardcoded 'Links-Rechts' / 'Progressief-Conservatief' axis labels
with values from classify_axes(). Add per-year interpretation caption when
axis quality score is below the 0.65 correlation threshold.
2026-03-29 01:04:54 +01:00
sgeboers 5ec1f7af75 feat: add axis classifier with party ideology reference data
classify_axes() correlates per-party PCA positions against party_ideologies.csv
to assign honest dynamic labels (Links-Rechts, Coalitie-Oppositie, etc.)
instead of always assuming the first PCA axis is left-right.
2026-03-29 01:00:55 +01:00
sgeboers 23849c9cb6 docs: add axis classification implementation plan 2026-03-29 00:58:53 +01:00
sgeboers 6b811364c5 docs: add deployment note to axis classification spec
CSV files committed to git, baked into Docker image — no rsync needed.
2026-03-29 00:53:54 +01:00
sgeboers bb5f2961d1 docs: fix two spec ambiguities in axis classification design
- Clarify CSV path derivation from db_path (same data/ directory)
- Handle current_parliament window exclusion from modal label voting
2026-03-29 00:52:11 +01:00
sgeboers bed911b92c docs: add axis classification design spec
Add design for honest PCA axis labeling — validates each compass axis
against a party ideology reference CSV and labels dynamically (Links–Rechts,
Coalitie–Oppositie, or fallback) instead of hardcoding Left–Right always.
2026-03-29 00:51:34 +01:00
sgeboers 50f8a06c6d fix: connection leak, Rice index excludes absences, per-party motion count guard 2026-03-28 23:50:09 +01:00
sgeboers bcf9407957 feat: add voting discipline section below political compass 2026-03-28 23:45:38 +01:00
sgeboers ab99b7de18 fix: replace sideways Y-axis arrows with proper top/bottom annotations 2026-03-28 23:41:01 +01:00
sgeboers aac8a89118 fix: add missing party justifications in SVD_THEMES axes 3 and 5 explanations 2026-03-28 23:39:24 +01:00
sgeboers b6c2a9bacf fix: update SVD_THEMES axes 3-5 descriptions to reflect stable multi-year patterns 2026-03-28 23:37:10 +01:00
sgeboers 6914b2284a Add implementation plan for compass UI improvements 2026-03-28 23:33:03 +01:00
sgeboers c5b39ced5f Add design doc for compass UI improvements (axes 3-5, Y-axis arrows, discipline section) 2026-03-28 23:30:32 +01:00
sgeboers 064cd059d4 fix: per-window Y-axis correction for political compass
The global orientation check using party centroids averaged across all
windows was insufficient — individual windows (notably 2023) could still
have conservative parties above progressive ones on the Y-axis.

Added a per-window flip in compute_2d_axes (PCA branch) that checks
prog_avg_y vs cons_avg_y for each window independently and negates all
Y values in that window when cons > prog. Flipped window IDs are stored
in axis_def['y_flipped_windows'] for diagnostics.

Moved the canonical party set definitions outside the orientation try-
block so they are always in scope for the per-window correction.

Added test_per_window_y_orientation to cover the case where one window
is globally fine but locally inverted.
2026-03-28 22:45:40 +01:00
sgeboers 6329d6a256 UI improvements + add axis orientation test
- Rename app to 'Motief: de stematlas' in Home.py
- Remove PCA variance caption from compass tab
- Hardcode db_path and window_size; remove sidebar inputs
- Change trajectories default to [CDA, D66, VVD]
- Move quiz to pages/1_Stemwijzer.py; wrap in st.form
- Remove quiz tab from main explorer
- Add pytest dev dep + fix test fixtures (_load_mp_vectors_for_window)
- Add test_pca_axis_orientation with proper PCA variance dominance
2026-03-28 22:27:39 +01:00
sgeboers 72fbe0008e fix(ansible): add headless and CORS flags for reverse proxy 2026-03-28 22:01:04 +01:00
sgeboers b50ee650de fix(ansible): create data directory on server before rsync 2026-03-28 21:39:33 +01:00
sgeboers cbab8f080d fix(ansible): use rsync with checksum for motions.db sync 2026-03-28 21:09:17 +01:00
sgeboers 0bd1c08cb2 fix(ansible): ignore pkill errors, add motions.db sync task 2026-03-28 21:04:49 +01:00
sgeboers 22067fd162 fix(ansible): use full path for uv binary in shell tasks 2026-03-28 21:02:01 +01:00
sgeboers de6ed29bf7 fix(ansible): use port 222 for Gitea SSH, write SSH config on server 2026-03-28 20:46:57 +01:00
sgeboers 13cb746d06 fix(ansible): correct deploy key path to /home/webapps/.ssh/ed25519 2026-03-28 20:39:45 +01:00
sgeboers a4481af8e2 fix(ansible): use webapps deploy key for git clone instead of agent forwarding 2026-03-28 20:33:09 +01:00
sgeboers 8579da68bd fix(ansible): add git.sgeboers.nl to known_hosts before git clone 2026-03-28 20:29:06 +01:00
sgeboers 57083e496d chore(ansible): add ansible.cfg with SSH agent forwarding for private repo access 2026-03-28 20:25:36 +01:00
sgeboers c0d1c59bd7 chore(deploy): rewrite ansible for motief on motief.sgeboers.nl, remove drone
- Replace gtfs/bokeh deploy with motief/streamlit (port 8501)
- Update inventory to motief.sgeboers.nl
- Remove stale .drone.yml
- Add CI guard to forbid .env in repo
- Add env removal report and secrets rotation checklist
2026-03-28 20:12:36 +01:00
sgeboers 35f4667982 chore(secrets): stop tracking .env and add to .gitignore 2026-03-28 20:02:54 +01:00
sgeboers 445f0bfb24 feat(ansible-example): add @ansible/example package, tests, CI, publish & deploy workflows, docs and changelog 2026-03-28 20:00:31 +01:00
sgeboers b5c14d0c65 deploy to server 2026-03-26 22:52:11 +01:00
sgeboers c3f74433b2 chore(data): regenerate top SVD motions JSON with party-expanded SVD vectors 2026-03-25 23:49:35 +01:00
sgeboers 6cb89126a7 fix(svd): expand party votes to individual MPs before SVD computation
The mp_votes table contains both party-aggregate rows (e.g. 'PVV', 'NSC')
and individual MP rows (e.g. 'Aardema, M.'). Running SVD on both together
creates a block-diagonal vote matrix where party codes and individual MPs
occupy disjoint SVD dimensions — causing dim 0 to be zero for all 421 MPs.

Fix: _build_expanded_rows() converts every party-level vote to individual
MP votes using mp_metadata date ranges (active MPs on motion date). Motions
that already have individual MP records are kept as-is. A party name mapping
handles NSC/Nieuw Sociaal Contract and other canonical name variants.

Results for current_parliament: 517 individual MPs, all 8732 motions covered,
dim 0 std=23.1 (was 0.0 for all MPs). PVV/NSC/BBB on positive end, SP/GL/PvdD
on negative end — matches expected left-right political axis.

All 11 annual windows (2016-2026) re-run with the new pipeline.
2026-03-25 23:48:55 +01:00
sgeboers a7517bb6ae fix(svd): use averaged individual MP vectors for party axis scores, fix scree to %, re-add component 4
- load_party_axis_scores now loads individual MP vectors and averages
  per party (same data source as the political compass), so SVD axis
  rankings are consistent between the two tabs. Previously it used
  party-aggregate rows which gave structurally 0 signal on dim 3.

- Re-add component 4 (dim 3) to SVD_THEMES and revert comp_options
  filter — with individual MPs averaged, dim 3 now shows real party
  separation (the 'publieke voorzieningen vs marktwerking' axis).

- Scree plot y-axis now shows percentage of total variance instead of
  raw L2-norms; hover also updated to show '% van totaal'.
2026-03-25 23:06:35 +01:00