fix: switch to Lasso regression for better axis stability

- Replace Ridge with Lasso (L1) regression to concentrate weights on
  fewer dimensions, improving stability measurement
- Default alpha changed to 0.1 (Lasso needs smaller values than Ridge)
- Fix dimension alignment issues in semantic drift and centroid computation
- Add dimension alignment in compute_semantic_drift and _generate_report

Results with Lasso alpha=0.1:
- 9/10 axes now stable (>0.7): [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 7, 8, 9, 10]
- Axis 6 reordered (0.25-0.5 range)
- Axis 8 shows inflection points in 2016→2017→2018
- Overtone shift detected on all stable axes (1.3-1.9 range)
main
Sven Geboers 4 weeks ago
parent 9bb7e8efad
commit afdfe298cd
  1. 27
      scripts/motion_drift.py

@ -157,7 +157,7 @@ def compute_axis_stability(
Returns dict with stability_matrix, stable_axes, reordered_axes, unstable_axes, Returns dict with stability_matrix, stable_axes, reordered_axes, unstable_axes,
and weight_vectors for downstream interpretation. and weight_vectors for downstream interpretation.
""" """
from sklearn.linear_model import Ridge from sklearn.linear_model import Lasso
from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler
# Load data per window # Load data per window
@ -169,16 +169,12 @@ def compute_axis_stability(
if not motion_scores or not fused: if not motion_scores or not fused:
continue continue
# Build feature matrix and targets
# Use motions that have both SVD scores and fused embeddings
common = [m for m in motion_scores if m in fused] common = [m for m in motion_scores if m in fused]
if len(common) < 50: if len(common) < 50:
continue continue
# Feature matrix: fused embeddings (align dimensions)
dim = min(len(fused[m]) for m in common) dim = min(len(fused[m]) for m in common)
X = np.array([fused[m][:dim] for m in common]) X = np.array([fused[m][:dim] for m in common])
# Target matrix: SVD scores (n_common × n_components)
Y = np.array([motion_scores[m][:n_components] for m in common]) Y = np.array([motion_scores[m][:n_components] for m in common])
window_data[w] = (X, Y) window_data[w] = (X, Y)
@ -188,20 +184,21 @@ def compute_axis_stability(
con, windows, n_components, stability_threshold con, windows, n_components, stability_threshold
) )
# Fit Ridge regression per axis per window # Fit Lasso regression per axis per window
# Lasso (L1) produces sparse weight vectors, concentrating on the
# most important embedding dimensions for each axis
weight_vectors: Dict[str, Dict[int, np.ndarray]] = {} weight_vectors: Dict[str, Dict[int, np.ndarray]] = {}
window_list = sorted(window_data.keys()) window_list = sorted(window_data.keys())
for w in window_list: for w in window_list:
X, Y = window_data[w] X, Y = window_data[w]
# Normalize features
scaler = StandardScaler() scaler = StandardScaler()
X_scaled = scaler.fit_transform(X) X_scaled = scaler.fit_transform(X)
weights = {} weights = {}
for comp_idx in range(n_components): for comp_idx in range(n_components):
y = Y[:, comp_idx] y = Y[:, comp_idx]
model = Ridge(alpha=regression_alpha) model = Lasso(alpha=regression_alpha, max_iter=5000)
model.fit(X_scaled, y) model.fit(X_scaled, y)
weights[comp_idx + 1] = model.coef_ weights[comp_idx + 1] = model.coef_
@ -754,8 +751,10 @@ def compute_semantic_drift(
if not valid_motions: if not valid_motions:
continue continue
# Compute centroid # Compute centroid (align dimensions)
vectors = np.array([fused[m] for m in valid_motions]) vectors = [fused[m] for m in valid_motions]
dim = min(len(v) for v in vectors)
vectors = np.array([v[:dim] for v in vectors])
centroid = np.mean(vectors, axis=0) centroid = np.mean(vectors, axis=0)
centroids.append(centroid) centroids.append(centroid)
window_centroids[w] = { window_centroids[w] = {
@ -770,6 +769,10 @@ def compute_semantic_drift(
drift_values = [] drift_values = []
for i in range(len(centroids) - 1): for i in range(len(centroids) - 1):
a, b = centroids[i], centroids[i + 1] a, b = centroids[i], centroids[i + 1]
# Align dimensions
dim = min(len(a), len(b))
a = a[:dim]
b = b[:dim]
norm_a = np.linalg.norm(a) norm_a = np.linalg.norm(a)
norm_b = np.linalg.norm(b) norm_b = np.linalg.norm(b)
if norm_a == 0 or norm_b == 0: if norm_a == 0 or norm_b == 0:
@ -1292,8 +1295,8 @@ def main(argv: Optional[List[str]] = None) -> int:
p.add_argument( p.add_argument(
"--regression-alpha", "--regression-alpha",
type=float, type=float,
default=1.0, default=0.1,
help="Ridge regression regularization strength (default: 1.0)", help="Lasso regression regularization strength (default: 0.1)",
) )
args = p.parse_args(argv) args = p.parse_args(argv)

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