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motief/analysis/right_wing/voting_margin.py

667 lines
25 KiB

#!/usr/bin/env python3
"""U3: Replace binary pass/fail with continuous voting margin as the primary success metric.
For each right-wing motion, compute the voting margin from per-party vote counts:
margin = (voor - tegen) / (voor + tegen + afwezig)
This gives a continuous [-1, 1] scale where:
+1.0 = unanimous support (all parties voted voor)
0.0 = exactly tied or no votes
-1.0 = unanimous opposition (all parties voted tegen)
Usage:
uv run python -m analysis.right_wing.voting_margin
Output:
reports/overton_window/voting_margin.md
reports/overton_window/voting_margin_figure.png
"""
from __future__ import annotations
import json
import logging
import sys
from pathlib import Path
from typing import Any
PROJECT_ROOT = Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent.parent
if str(PROJECT_ROOT) not in sys.path:
sys.path.insert(0, str(PROJECT_ROOT))
import duckdb
import matplotlib
matplotlib.use("Agg")
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import numpy as np
from scipy.stats import spearmanr, pearsonr, mannwhitneyu
from analysis.config import CANONICAL_RIGHT
from analysis.right_wing.common import BREAK_YEAR, DB_PATH, REPORTS_DIR
logging.basicConfig(level=logging.INFO, format="%(asctime)s %(levelname)s %(message)s")
logger = logging.getLogger(__name__)
REPORTS_DIR.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
QUARTILE_LABELS = [
"Q1 [0.00\u20130.25]",
"Q2 (0.25\u20130.50]",
"Q3 (0.50\u20130.75]",
"Q4 (0.75\u20131.00]",
]
def quartile_bin(cs: float) -> int:
if cs <= 0.25:
return 0
elif cs <= 0.50:
return 1
elif cs <= 0.75:
return 2
else:
return 3
def compute_margin(voting: dict[str, str]) -> float | None:
"""Compute voting margin from per-party vote directions.
voting: {party_name: "voor"/"tegen"/"afwezig"}
Returns margin in [-1, 1] or None if no votes.
"""
voor = sum(1 for v in voting.values() if v == "voor")
tegen = sum(1 for v in voting.values() if v == "tegen")
afwezig = sum(1 for v in voting.values() if v == "afwezig")
denom = voor + tegen + afwezig
if denom == 0:
return None
return (voor - tegen) / denom
def motion_passed(margin: float | None) -> bool | None:
"""Determine pass/fail from margin."""
if margin is None:
return None
return margin > 0
def collect_motion_margins(
con: duckdb.DuckDBPyConnection,
) -> list[dict[str, Any]]:
rows = con.execute("""
SELECT
r.motion_id,
r.year,
r.centrist_support_strict,
m.voting_results
FROM right_wing_motions r
JOIN motions m ON r.motion_id = m.id
WHERE r.classified = TRUE
AND r.year IS NOT NULL
AND r.centrist_support_strict IS NOT NULL
""").fetchall()
motions: list[dict[str, Any]] = []
for mid, year, cs, vr_json in rows:
voting = json.loads(vr_json) if isinstance(vr_json, str) else (vr_json or {})
margin = compute_margin(voting)
if margin is None:
continue
passed = motion_passed(margin)
motions.append({
"motion_id": mid,
"year": int(year),
"centrist_support_strict": float(cs),
"margin": margin,
"passed": passed,
"period": "post-2024" if int(year) >= BREAK_YEAR else "pre-2024",
})
return motions
def quartile_margin_stats(
motions: list[dict], filter_fn=None
) -> dict:
if filter_fn is None:
strata = {
"all": lambda m: True,
"pre-2024": lambda m: m["period"] == "pre-2024",
"post-2024": lambda m: m["period"] == "post-2024",
}
else:
strata = {"filtered": filter_fn}
result: dict[str, dict[int, dict]] = {}
for label, fn in strata.items():
bins: dict[int, dict] = {q: {"margins": [], "n": 0} for q in range(4)}
for m in motions:
if not fn(m):
continue
q = quartile_bin(m["centrist_support_strict"])
bins[q]["margins"].append(m["margin"])
bins[q]["n"] += 1
for q in range(4):
d = bins[q]
margins_arr = np.array(d["margins"])
d["mean"] = float(np.mean(margins_arr)) if len(margins_arr) > 0 else float("nan")
d["median"] = float(np.median(margins_arr)) if len(margins_arr) > 0 else float("nan")
d["std"] = float(np.std(margins_arr, ddof=1)) if len(margins_arr) > 1 else float("nan")
d["p25"] = float(np.percentile(margins_arr, 25)) if len(margins_arr) > 0 else float("nan")
d["p75"] = float(np.percentile(margins_arr, 75)) if len(margins_arr) > 0 else float("nan")
d["min"] = float(np.min(margins_arr)) if len(margins_arr) > 0 else float("nan")
d["max"] = float(np.max(margins_arr)) if len(margins_arr) > 0 else float("nan")
d["margin"] = d["margins"]
del d["margins"]
result[label] = bins
return result
def spearman_correlation(motions: list[dict]) -> dict[str, Any]:
margins = np.array([m["margin"] for m in motions])
cs_vals = np.array([m["centrist_support_strict"] for m in motions])
rho, p = spearmanr(margins, cs_vals)
r, pr = pearsonr(margins, cs_vals)
return {"spearman_rho": float(rho), "spearman_p": float(p), "pearson_r": float(r), "pearson_p": float(pr)}
def create_figure(
all_strata: dict[str, dict[int, dict]],
motions: list[dict],
corr: dict[str, Any],
) -> str:
fig, (ax_a, ax_b, ax_c) = plt.subplots(1, 3, figsize=(18, 6))
# --- Panel A: Box plots of margin by centrist support quartile ---
all_bins = all_strata["all"]
quartile_data = [all_bins[q]["margin"] for q in range(4)]
quartile_ns = [all_bins[q]["n"] for q in range(4)]
bp = ax_a.boxplot(
quartile_data,
positions=range(4),
widths=0.5,
patch_artist=True,
showfliers=True,
flierprops=dict(marker="o", markersize=3, alpha=0.4),
)
box_colours = ["#E0E0E0", "#BDBDBD", "#9E9E9E", "#616161"]
for patch, color in zip(bp["boxes"], box_colours):
patch.set_facecolor(color)
patch.set_alpha(0.8)
for q in range(4):
mean_val = all_bins[q]["mean"]
if not np.isnan(mean_val):
ax_a.scatter(q, mean_val, marker="D", color="#D32F2F", s=40, zorder=5,
label="Mean" if q == 0 else None)
ax_a.set_xticks(range(4))
ax_a.set_xticklabels([f"Q{q+1}\n(n={quartile_ns[q]})" for q in range(4)], fontsize=9)
ax_a.set_ylabel("Voting margin (party-level)")
ax_a.set_title("A. Margin by centrist support quartile", fontweight="bold")
ax_a.set_ylim(-1.05, 1.05)
ax_a.axhline(y=0, color="grey", linestyle="--", alpha=0.5, linewidth=0.8)
ax_a.legend(fontsize=7, loc="upper left")
ax_a.grid(True, alpha=0.3, axis="y")
# --- Panel B: Margin over time (yearly mean) ---
years_data: dict[int, list[float]] = {}
for m in motions:
y = m["year"]
years_data.setdefault(y, []).append(m["margin"])
years_sorted = sorted(years_data.keys())
yearly_means = np.array([np.mean(years_data[y]) for y in years_sorted])
yearly_stds = np.array([np.std(years_data[y], ddof=1) for y in years_sorted])
yearly_ns = np.array([len(years_data[y]) for y in years_sorted])
yearly_sems = yearly_stds / np.sqrt(yearly_ns)
ax_b.fill_between(years_sorted, yearly_means - 1.96 * yearly_sems,
yearly_means + 1.96 * yearly_sems,
alpha=0.2, color="#002366", label="95% CI")
ax_b.plot(years_sorted, yearly_means, marker="o", color="#002366",
linewidth=2, label="Mean margin")
ax_b.axvline(x=BREAK_YEAR - 0.5, color="black", linestyle=":", alpha=0.5, linewidth=1)
ax_b.annotate("2024", xy=(BREAK_YEAR - 0.3, ax_b.get_ylim()[1] * 0.90),
fontsize=9, color="black", alpha=0.7)
ax_b.set_xlabel("Year")
ax_b.set_ylabel("Mean voting margin")
ax_b.set_title("B. Voting margin over time", fontweight="bold")
ax_b.legend(fontsize=8)
ax_b.grid(True, alpha=0.3)
ax_b.set_xticks(years_sorted)
ax_b.set_xticklabels([str(y) for y in years_sorted], rotation=45)
# --- Panel C: Scatter of margin vs centrist support ---
margins_arr = np.array([m["margin"] for m in motions])
cs_arr = np.array([m["centrist_support_strict"] for m in motions])
pre_mask = np.array([m["period"] == "pre-2024" for m in motions])
post_mask = ~pre_mask
ax_c.scatter(cs_arr[pre_mask], margins_arr[pre_mask],
alpha=0.35, s=12, color="#90CAF9", label="Pre-2024", edgecolors="none")
ax_c.scatter(cs_arr[post_mask], margins_arr[post_mask],
alpha=0.35, s=12, color="#1E88E5", label="Post-2024", edgecolors="none")
valid = ~np.isnan(cs_arr) & ~np.isnan(margins_arr)
if valid.sum() > 1:
coeffs = np.polyfit(cs_arr[valid], margins_arr[valid], 1)
x_fit = np.linspace(0, 1, 100)
ax_c.plot(x_fit, np.polyval(coeffs, x_fit), color="#D32F2F", linewidth=1.5,
linestyle="--", label=f"Linear fit (r={corr['pearson_r']:.3f})")
ax_c.set_xlabel("Centrist support (strict)")
ax_c.set_ylabel("Voting margin")
ax_c.set_title(f"C. Margin vs centrist support\nSpearman \u03c1={corr['spearman_rho']:.3f}, p={corr['spearman_p']:.1e}",
fontweight="bold")
ax_c.set_ylim(-1.05, 1.05)
ax_c.set_xlim(-0.02, 1.02)
ax_c.axhline(y=0, color="grey", linestyle="--", alpha=0.5, linewidth=0.8)
ax_c.legend(fontsize=8, loc="upper left")
ax_c.grid(True, alpha=0.3)
plt.tight_layout()
path = str(REPORTS_DIR / "voting_margin_figure.png")
fig.savefig(path, dpi=150, bbox_inches="tight")
plt.close(fig)
logger.info("Saved figure to %s", path)
return path
def generate_report(
all_strata: dict[str, dict[int, dict]],
motions: list[dict],
corr: dict[str, Any],
fig_path: str,
) -> str:
n_total = len(motions)
margins_arr = np.array([m["margin"] for m in motions])
cs_arr = np.array([m["centrist_support_strict"] for m in motions])
n_passed = sum(1 for m in motions if m["passed"])
n_failed = sum(1 for m in motions if m["passed"] is False)
overall_pass_rate = n_passed / n_total if n_total > 0 else 0.0
# Quartile margin table
qtable = "| Stratum | " + " | ".join(QUARTILE_LABELS) + " |\n"
qtable += "|---------|" + "|".join([":------:" for _ in QUARTILE_LABELS]) + "|\n"
for key in ["all", "pre-2024", "post-2024"]:
bins = all_strata.get(key, {})
row = [key]
for q in range(4):
d = bins.get(q, {})
m = d.get("mean", float("nan"))
n = d.get("n", 0)
if np.isnan(m):
row.append(f"N/A (n={n})")
else:
row.append(f"{m:+.3f} (n={n})")
qtable += "| " + " | ".join(row) + " |\n"
# Quartile detailed stats table
qdetail = "| Quartile | N | Mean | Median | Std | P25 | P75 | Min | Max |\n"
qdetail += "|----------|---|------|--------|-----|-----|-----|-----|-----|\n"
for q in range(4):
d = all_strata["all"][q]
qdetail += (
f"| Q{q+1} | {d['n']} | {d['mean']:+.3f} | {d['median']:+.3f} | "
f"{d['std']:.3f} | {d['p25']:+.3f} | {d['p75']:+.3f} | "
f"{d['min']:+.3f} | {d['max']:+.3f} |\n"
)
# Period-level stats
pre_motions = [m for m in motions if m["period"] == "pre-2024"]
post_motions = [m for m in motions if m["period"] == "post-2024"]
pre_margins = np.array([m["margin"] for m in pre_motions])
post_margins = np.array([m["margin"] for m in post_motions])
pre_mean = float(np.mean(pre_margins)) if len(pre_margins) > 0 else float("nan")
post_mean = float(np.mean(post_margins)) if len(post_margins) > 0 else float("nan")
delta = post_mean - pre_mean
# Mann-Whitney for period difference
if len(pre_margins) > 0 and len(post_margins) > 0:
u_stat, u_p = mannwhitneyu(pre_margins, post_margins, alternative="two-sided")
u_str = f"U={u_stat:.0f}, p={u_p:.1e}"
cohens_d = (post_mean - pre_mean) / np.sqrt(
(np.std(pre_margins, ddof=1) ** 2 + np.std(post_margins, ddof=1) ** 2) / 2
) if len(pre_margins) > 1 and len(post_margins) > 1 else float("nan")
else:
u_str = "N/A"
cohens_d = float("nan")
# Yearly breakdown
years_data: dict[int, list[float]] = {}
years_cs: dict[int, list[float]] = {}
for m in motions:
y = m["year"]
years_data.setdefault(y, []).append(m["margin"])
years_cs.setdefault(y, []).append(m["centrist_support_strict"])
ytable = "| Year | N | Mean Margin | Mean CS (strict) | % Passed |\n"
ytable += "|------|---|-------------|-----------------|---------|\n"
for y in sorted(years_data.keys()):
ym = years_data[y]
yc = years_cs[y]
passed = sum(1 for m in motions if m["year"] == y and m["passed"])
total = len(ym)
ytable += (
f"| {y} | {total} | {np.mean(ym):+.3f} | {np.mean(yc):.3f} | "
f"{passed/total:.1%} |\n"
)
# Q4 vs Q1 gap (analogous to success premium)
q1_mean = all_strata["all"][0]["mean"]
q4_mean = all_strata["all"][3]["mean"]
margin_gap = q4_mean - q1_mean if not (np.isnan(q1_mean) or np.isnan(q4_mean)) else float("nan")
# Pass rate by quartile for comparison
pass_table = "| Quartile | N | Pass Rate | Mean Margin |\n"
pass_table += "|----------|---|-----------|-------------|\n"
for q in range(4):
d = all_strata["all"][q]
q_motions = [m for m in motions if quartile_bin(m["centrist_support_strict"]) == q]
q_passed = sum(1 for m in q_motions if m["passed"])
pr = q_passed / d["n"] if d["n"] > 0 else float("nan")
pr_str = f"{pr:.1%}" if not np.isnan(pr) else "N/A"
pass_table += f"| Q{q+1} | {d['n']} | {pr_str} | {d['mean']:+.3f} |\n"
report = [
"# Voting Margin Analysis",
"",
"**Goal:** Replace binary pass/fail with continuous voting margin as the primary",
"success metric for right-wing motions in the Tweede Kamer.",
"",
f"**Analysis period:** 2016\u20132026",
f"**Total right-wing motions with vote data:** {n_total}",
f"**Motions passed:** {n_passed} ({overall_pass_rate:.1%})",
f"**Motions failed:** {n_failed} ({n_failed/n_total:.1%})" if n_total > 0 else "",
"",
"---",
"",
"## 1. Methodology",
"",
"The voting margin is computed from `motions.voting_results`, which stores",
"per-party vote directions as a JSON object:",
"`{\"PVV\": \"voor\", \"VVD\": \"tegen\", \"D66\": \"afwezig\", ...}`.",
"",
"```",
"margin = (voor - tegen) / (voor + tegen + afwezig)",
"```",
"",
"Each party contributes one vote (its majority position). The margin ranges",
"from -1 (unanimous rejection) to +1 (unanimous support). A margin of 0",
"indicates an exact tie or no participating parties.",
"",
"This continuous metric captures *magnitude* of support, not just direction.",
"A motion that passes 14-1 has margin = +0.87, while one that passes 8-7 has",
"margin = +0.07. Both are \"passed\" in binary terms, but the former has far",
"stronger parliamentary consensus.",
"",
"> **Note:** The per-party aggregation treats all parties equally, regardless of",
"> seat count. This is appropriate for measuring *breadth of support across the",
"> political spectrum*, which is exactly what the Overton window concept",
"> concerns. Seat-weighted margins would be confounded by coalition size effects.",
"",
"---",
"",
"## 2. Correlation: Margin vs Centrist Support",
"",
"| Metric | Value |",
"|--------|-------|",
f"| Spearman \u03c1 | {corr['spearman_rho']:.3f} |",
f"| Spearman p-value | {corr['spearman_p']:.1e} |",
f"| Pearson r | {corr['pearson_r']:.3f} |",
f"| Pearson p-value | {corr['pearson_p']:.1e} |",
"",
]
if corr["spearman_p"] < 0.05:
report.append(
f"The Spearman correlation is significant (\u03c1 = {corr['spearman_rho']:.3f}, "
f"p = {corr['spearman_p']:.1e}), indicating a "
f"{'positive' if corr['spearman_rho'] > 0 else 'negative'} monotonic "
f"relationship between centrist support and voting margin."
)
else:
report.append(
f"The Spearman correlation is not significant (\u03c1 = {corr['spearman_rho']:.3f}, "
f"p = {corr['spearman_p']:.3f}). Centrist support alone does not predict "
f"voting margin."
)
report += [
"",
"---",
"",
"## 3. Margin Distribution by Centrist Support Quartile",
"",
"### Summary Table",
"",
qtable,
"",
"### Detailed Statistics (All Motions)",
"",
qdetail,
"",
f"**Q4 \u2013 Q1 gap in mean margin:** {margin_gap:+.3f}",
"",
]
if not np.isnan(margin_gap) and margin_gap > 0:
report.append(
f"The gap of {margin_gap:+.3f} indicates that motions with the highest "
f"centrist support (Q4) have a meaningfully higher voting margin than "
f"those with the lowest (Q1)."
)
elif not np.isnan(margin_gap):
report.append(
f"The gap of {margin_gap:+.3f} shows no meaningful positive relationship "
f"between centrist support and voting margin."
)
report += [
"",
"---",
"",
"## 4. Pass Rate vs Margin Comparison",
"",
"This section compares the binary pass-rate metric with the continuous margin",
"metric to determine whether margin captures additional information.",
"",
pass_table,
"",
]
# Check if margin detects patterns pass rate misses
q1_pr = 0.0
q4_pr = 0.0
for q in range(4):
d = all_strata["all"][q]
q_motions = [m for m in motions if quartile_bin(m["centrist_support_strict"]) == q]
q_passed = sum(1 for m in q_motions if m["passed"])
pr = q_passed / d["n"] if d["n"] > 0 else 0.0
if q == 0:
q1_pr = pr
elif q == 3:
q4_pr = pr
pass_gap = q4_pr - q1_pr if q4_pr > 0 else 0.0
report.append(
f"**Pass rate gap (Q4 \u2013 Q1):** {pass_gap:+.1%}"
)
report.append(
f"**Margin gap (Q4 \u2013 Q1):** {margin_gap:+.3f}"
)
if pass_gap < 0.05 and abs(margin_gap) > 0.05:
report.append("")
report.append(
"The pass rate gap is small ({:.1%}) while the margin gap is meaningful "
"({:+.3f}), suggesting that **margin captures variance that the binary "
"pass/fail metric misses**. This supports replacing pass rate with voting "
"margin as the primary success metric.".format(pass_gap, margin_gap)
)
elif pass_gap >= 0.05:
report.append("")
report.append(
"Both pass rate and margin show a positive relationship with centrist "
"support. Margin provides additional granularity but does not contradict "
"the pass rate findings."
)
else:
report.append("")
report.append(
"Neither pass rate nor margin show a meaningful relationship with centrist "
"support. The high baseline pass rate (~{:.0%}) creates a ceiling effect "
"for both metrics.".format(overall_pass_rate)
)
report += [
"",
"---",
"",
"## 5. Period Stratification",
"",
"| Metric | Pre-2024 | Post-2024 | \u0394 |",
"|--------|----------|-----------|-----|",
f"| N | {len(pre_motions)} | {len(post_motions)} | |",
f"| Mean margin | {pre_mean:+.3f} | {post_mean:+.3f} | {delta:+.3f} |",
f"| Mann-Whitney U | | | {u_str} |",
f"| Cohen's d | | | {cohens_d:+.3f} |" if not np.isnan(cohens_d) else "",
"",
]
if not np.isnan(post_mean) and not np.isnan(pre_mean):
_, period_p = mannwhitneyu(pre_margins, post_margins, alternative="two-sided")
if period_p < 0.05:
direction = "rose" if post_mean > pre_mean else "fell"
report.append(
f"Voting margin {direction} significantly post-2024 "
f"(Mann-Whitney p = {period_p:.1e}, d = {cohens_d:+.3f})."
)
else:
report.append(
f"Voting margin did not change significantly between periods "
f"(Mann-Whitney p = {period_p:.3f})."
)
report += [
"",
"---",
"",
"## 6. Yearly Breakdown",
"",
ytable,
"",
"---",
"",
"## 7. Interpretation",
"",
]
if corr["spearman_p"] < 0.05 and corr["spearman_rho"] > 0:
report.append(
f"**Finding:** Higher centrist support is associated with higher voting "
f"margins (\u03c1 = {corr['spearman_rho']:.3f}, p = {corr['spearman_p']:.1e}). "
f"This validates centrist support as a predictor of parliamentary success "
f"on a continuous scale, not just a binary pass/fail threshold."
)
elif corr["spearman_p"] < 0.05:
report.append(
f"**Finding:** Higher centrist support is associated with *lower* voting "
f"margins (\u03c1 = {corr['spearman_rho']:.3f}, p = {corr['spearman_p']:.1e}). "
f"This is counterintuitive and warrants further investigation."
)
else:
report.append(
f"**Finding:** No significant correlation between centrist support and "
f"voting margin (\u03c1 = {corr['spearman_rho']:.3f}, p = {corr['spearman_p']:.3f}). "
)
report.append("")
report.append(
"**Margin vs pass rate:** The voting margin provides strictly more information "
"than the binary pass rate. Every pass/fail outcome can be derived from the "
"margin (margin > 0 = passed), but the margin also captures the *strength* of "
"parliamentary consensus. This is particularly important in the Tweede Kamer "
"where >95% of motions pass, making pass rate a nearly constant measure."
)
report += [
"",
"---",
"",
"## 8. Limitations",
"",
"- **Per-party aggregation:** All parties are weighted equally regardless of",
" seat count. A motion passing with VVD (24 seats) + PVV (37 seats) has the",
" same margin as one passing with SGP (3 seats) + DENK (3 seats). This is",
" appropriate for measuring *breadth of cross-spectrum support* but may not",
" reflect actual parliamentary power.",
"- **Voting discipline:** Party-line voting is near-universal in the Dutch",
" parliament. The per-party aggregation loses little information.",
"- **No within-party splits:** The voting_results data shows majority party",
" positions, not individual MP votes. Intra-party dissent is invisible.",
"- **Missing data:** Motions without voting_results are excluded.",
"",
"---",
"",
f"![Figure: Voting margin analysis]({Path(fig_path).name})",
"",
"*Report generated by `analysis/right_wing/voting_margin.py`*",
]
report_path = REPORTS_DIR / "voting_margin.md"
with open(report_path, "w") as f:
f.write("\n".join(report))
logger.info("Report written to %s", report_path)
return str(report_path)
def main() -> int:
logger.info("Connecting to database: %s", DB_PATH)
con = duckdb.connect(DB_PATH, read_only=True)
logger.info("Collecting motion margins...")
motions = collect_motion_margins(con)
con.close()
n_total = len(motions)
n_passed = sum(1 for m in motions if m["passed"])
n_pre = sum(1 for m in motions if m["period"] == "pre-2024")
n_post = sum(1 for m in motions if m["period"] == "post-2024")
logger.info(
"Total: %d motions with voting data, %d passed (%.1f%%), pre=%d post=%d",
n_total, n_passed, (n_passed / n_total * 100) if n_total > 0 else 0,
n_pre, n_post,
)
all_strata = quartile_margin_stats(motions)
corr = spearman_correlation(motions)
logger.info(
"Spearman rho=%.3f p=%.1e | Pearson r=%.3f p=%.1e",
corr["spearman_rho"], corr["spearman_p"],
corr["pearson_r"], corr["pearson_p"],
)
logger.info("Generating figure...")
fig_path = create_figure(all_strata, motions, corr)
logger.info("Generating report...")
report_path = generate_report(all_strata, motions, corr, fig_path)
print(f"\nReport: {report_path}")
print(f"Figure: {fig_path}")
return 0
if __name__ == "__main__":
raise SystemExit(main())