motief

Commit Graph

Author	SHA1	Message	Date
Sven Geboers	d05ec40584	fix(overton): address 6 substantive audit findings across all report surfaces - NSC sensitivity: only 3.1% of CS surge attributable to NSC inclusion - Submitter parsing: opposition-only d=0.85 likely inflated (~0.65-0.75) - Mechanism taxonomy: relabeled as exploratory (kappa=0.41, 50.5% agreement) - Causal claims: softened from 'refuted' to 'less consistent with data' - 2026 reversion: material moderation persisted but shock was primary driver - Placeholder contamination: r=0.43 drops to r=0.34 without 6K (1,1) defaults	2 weeks ago
Sven Geboers	8826346190	fix(overton): reframe verdict and migration as gateway domain - Verdict now says 'window widened' (not 'did not shift') — centrist support surged for right-wing motions while staying flat for left-wing - Migration reframed from 'one exception' to 'gateway domain' — where acceptance expanded most genuinely and right-wing parties learned frames they applied elsewhere - Explorer Overton tab: added migration gateway section with pre/post metrics, full motion text (no truncation), 100-motion browser - Explorer Kompas tab: updated Overton context to lead with the shift - Explorer Trajectories tab: Dutch-language Overton annotation - Synthesis, QMD, HTML report, STATUS.md all updated consistently	2 weeks ago
Sven Geboers	5706e86777	feat(overton): coherent narrative architecture — Quarto article, Explorer Overton tab, report cleanup - U1: Remove stale findings_report.md and blog_post.html, add cross-reference headers to all 13 appendix reports, switch HTML report to canonical 4-party centrist definition - U2: Create Quarto narrative spine (overton_window.qmd) with 9 sections and 6 interactive Plotly charts. Includes 'About Stemwijzer' platform section. - U3: Add Overton tab to Explorer (centrist support trend, right-wing motion browser, explore-further links). Add Overton context expander to Kompas tab and 2024 breakpoint annotation to Trajectories tab. - U4: Create build_all_reports.py master regeneration script (3-phase, dependency-ordered, --skip-llm support) - U5: Update README with Research section, create reports/overton_window/README.md reading guide, update STATUS.md with broader platform framing Plan: docs/plans/2026-06-06-001-overton-coherent-narrative-plan.md 282 tests pass.	2 weeks ago

Author

SHA1

Message

Date

Sven Geboers

d05ec40584

fix(overton): address 6 substantive audit findings across all report surfaces

- NSC sensitivity: only 3.1% of CS surge attributable to NSC inclusion
- Submitter parsing: opposition-only d=0.85 likely inflated (~0.65-0.75)
- Mechanism taxonomy: relabeled as exploratory (kappa=0.41, 50.5% agreement)
- Causal claims: softened from 'refuted' to 'less consistent with data'
- 2026 reversion: material moderation persisted but shock was primary driver
- Placeholder contamination: r=0.43 drops to r=0.34 without 6K (1,1) defaults

2 weeks ago

Sven Geboers

8826346190

fix(overton): reframe verdict and migration as gateway domain

- Verdict now says 'window widened' (not 'did not shift') — centrist
  support surged for right-wing motions while staying flat for left-wing
- Migration reframed from 'one exception' to 'gateway domain' — where
  acceptance expanded most genuinely and right-wing parties learned
  frames they applied elsewhere
- Explorer Overton tab: added migration gateway section with pre/post
  metrics, full motion text (no truncation), 100-motion browser
- Explorer Kompas tab: updated Overton context to lead with the shift
- Explorer Trajectories tab: Dutch-language Overton annotation
- Synthesis, QMD, HTML report, STATUS.md all updated consistently

2 weeks ago

Sven Geboers

5706e86777

feat(overton): coherent narrative architecture — Quarto article, Explorer Overton tab, report cleanup

- U1: Remove stale findings_report.md and blog_post.html, add cross-reference
  headers to all 13 appendix reports, switch HTML report to canonical 4-party
  centrist definition
- U2: Create Quarto narrative spine (overton_window.qmd) with 9 sections and
  6 interactive Plotly charts. Includes 'About Stemwijzer' platform section.
- U3: Add Overton tab to Explorer (centrist support trend, right-wing motion
  browser, explore-further links). Add Overton context expander to Kompas tab
  and 2024 breakpoint annotation to Trajectories tab.
- U4: Create build_all_reports.py master regeneration script (3-phase,
  dependency-ordered, --skip-llm support)
- U5: Update README with Research section, create reports/overton_window/README.md
  reading guide, update STATUS.md with broader platform framing

Plan: docs/plans/2026-06-06-001-overton-coherent-narrative-plan.md
282 tests pass.

2 weeks ago

3 Commits (d05ec40584f1ed0a1cb59d9b9dcfc1ef9352b49a)