motief

Commit Graph

Author	SHA1	Message	Date
Sven Geboers	19e8d5b8ba	feat(overton): add category domain decomposition with interactive charts and TDD tests Populated the right_wing_motions.category column (previously 100% NULL across 3,030 motions) via parallel subagent classification — 80 agents derived a 10-category taxonomy and classified all motions in minutes. Adds to the Overton QMD report: - Plotly dropdown filter on Chart 1 to toggle between policy categories - Chart 7: category delta bar chart (pre/post centrist support per domain) - Chart 8: quarterly domain trajectories for the 5 largest categories - Domain Decomposition narrative section Also fixes a Streamlit tab crash (m.text -> m.body_text) and adds TDD tests.	4 days ago
Sven Geboers	5706e86777	feat(overton): coherent narrative architecture — Quarto article, Explorer Overton tab, report cleanup - U1: Remove stale findings_report.md and blog_post.html, add cross-reference headers to all 13 appendix reports, switch HTML report to canonical 4-party centrist definition - U2: Create Quarto narrative spine (overton_window.qmd) with 9 sections and 6 interactive Plotly charts. Includes 'About Stemwijzer' platform section. - U3: Add Overton tab to Explorer (centrist support trend, right-wing motion browser, explore-further links). Add Overton context expander to Kompas tab and 2024 breakpoint annotation to Trajectories tab. - U4: Create build_all_reports.py master regeneration script (3-phase, dependency-ordered, --skip-llm support) - U5: Update README with Research section, create reports/overton_window/README.md reading guide, update STATUS.md with broader platform framing Plan: docs/plans/2026-06-06-001-overton-coherent-narrative-plan.md 282 tests pass.	2 weeks ago
Sven Geboers	7df961ba83	feat(overton): address 7 critical gaps in Overton window analysis U1: Temporal trajectory — quarterly granularity reveals immediate electoral jump at 2024-Q1 (+0.180), peak at 2024-Q4 (0.648), reversion to 0.334 by 2026-Q1. U2: 2D extremity temporal — single-score masks divergence. Material impact decreased (-0.146) while stylistic increased (+0.097). Wilcoxon p=0.002 confirms systematic divergence. U3: Systematic mechanism classification — 150 motions. Consensus framing confirmed (24% high-CS vs 8% low-CS, p=0.014). Post-2024 high-CS dominated by procedural (32%), consensus (24%), targeted restriction (17%). U4: Causal timing — shift is electorally driven (after Nov 2023 PVV election, before Jul 2024 Schoof cabinet). Rules out coalition dynamics, gradual learning, European contagion. U5: Left-wing response — barely changed (21.3%→20.2%, -1.1pp). Centrist shift (d=+1.89) is 18.3x larger than left hardening (d=-0.75). Volt is only left party that softened (+12.9pp). U6: Success correlation — significant trend (p<0.001) but success premium only +3.2%, ceiling effect at 96%+ limits practical meaning. U7: Synthesis update — integrated all findings, updated verdict to note electoral-cycle effect and 2026-Q1 reversion.	3 weeks ago

Author

SHA1

Message

Date

Sven Geboers

19e8d5b8ba

feat(overton): add category domain decomposition with interactive charts and TDD tests

Populated the right_wing_motions.category column (previously 100% NULL across
3,030 motions) via parallel subagent classification — 80 agents derived a
10-category taxonomy and classified all motions in minutes.

Adds to the Overton QMD report:
- Plotly dropdown filter on Chart 1 to toggle between policy categories
- Chart 7: category delta bar chart (pre/post centrist support per domain)
- Chart 8: quarterly domain trajectories for the 5 largest categories
- Domain Decomposition narrative section

Also fixes a Streamlit tab crash (m.text -> m.body_text) and adds TDD tests.

4 days ago

Sven Geboers

5706e86777

feat(overton): coherent narrative architecture — Quarto article, Explorer Overton tab, report cleanup

- U1: Remove stale findings_report.md and blog_post.html, add cross-reference
  headers to all 13 appendix reports, switch HTML report to canonical 4-party
  centrist definition
- U2: Create Quarto narrative spine (overton_window.qmd) with 9 sections and
  6 interactive Plotly charts. Includes 'About Stemwijzer' platform section.
- U3: Add Overton tab to Explorer (centrist support trend, right-wing motion
  browser, explore-further links). Add Overton context expander to Kompas tab
  and 2024 breakpoint annotation to Trajectories tab.
- U4: Create build_all_reports.py master regeneration script (3-phase,
  dependency-ordered, --skip-llm support)
- U5: Update README with Research section, create reports/overton_window/README.md
  reading guide, update STATUS.md with broader platform framing

Plan: docs/plans/2026-06-06-001-overton-coherent-narrative-plan.md
282 tests pass.

2 weeks ago

Sven Geboers

7df961ba83

feat(overton): address 7 critical gaps in Overton window analysis

U1: Temporal trajectory — quarterly granularity reveals immediate
electoral jump at 2024-Q1 (+0.180), peak at 2024-Q4 (0.648), reversion
to 0.334 by 2026-Q1.

U2: 2D extremity temporal — single-score masks divergence. Material
impact decreased (-0.146) while stylistic increased (+0.097).
Wilcoxon p=0.002 confirms systematic divergence.

U3: Systematic mechanism classification — 150 motions. Consensus
framing confirmed (24% high-CS vs 8% low-CS, p=0.014). Post-2024
high-CS dominated by procedural (32%), consensus (24%), targeted
restriction (17%).

U4: Causal timing — shift is electorally driven (after Nov 2023 PVV
election, before Jul 2024 Schoof cabinet). Rules out coalition
dynamics, gradual learning, European contagion.

U5: Left-wing response — barely changed (21.3%→20.2%, -1.1pp).
Centrist shift (d=+1.89) is 18.3x larger than left hardening
(d=-0.75). Volt is only left party that softened (+12.9pp).

U6: Success correlation — significant trend (p<0.001) but success
premium only +3.2%, ceiling effect at 96%+ limits practical meaning.

U7: Synthesis update — integrated all findings, updated verdict
to note electoral-cycle effect and 2026-Q1 reversion.

3 weeks ago

3 Commits (bb8ce65ec9e231e83e003a195d7daac47ef7696d)