- Replace Procrustes-based stability with Ridge regression on fused embeddings
- For each SVD axis, fit Ridge: SVD_score ~ fused_embedding per window
- Compare weight vectors via max(cosine similarity, Jaccard top-100)
- Add --regression-alpha CLI argument (default 1.0)
- Keep party-based fallback for windows with < 50 motions
- Update tests for new regression-based approach
Key finding: regression weights show moderate stability (0.06-0.51)
but no axes exceed 0.7 threshold — semantic features defining each
axis shift significantly across windows
- Add scripts/motion_drift.py: analyzes SVD axis stability, semantic drift,
and cross-ideological voting patterns across annual windows
- Add analysis/motion_drift.py: core analysis functions with Procrustes
alignment fallback using party-based sign consistency
- Add matplotlib dependency for static chart generation
- Add tests/test_motion_drift.py: 12 tests covering all analysis functions
- Report output: markdown with embedded PNG charts
Key findings from real data:
- No axes are fully stable (>0.7) across 2019-2026
- All axes show moderate consistency (0.40-0.47) — stable within periods
but flip between cabinet periods (2019/2022/2026 vs 2023/2024/2025)
- Party voting analysis detects cross-ideological voting patterns
Sven Geboers