classify_axes() correlates per-party PCA positions against party_ideologies.csv
to assign honest dynamic labels (Links-Rechts, Coalitie-Oppositie, etc.)
instead of always assuming the first PCA axis is left-right.
The global orientation check using party centroids averaged across all
windows was insufficient — individual windows (notably 2023) could still
have conservative parties above progressive ones on the Y-axis.
Added a per-window flip in compute_2d_axes (PCA branch) that checks
prog_avg_y vs cons_avg_y for each window independently and negates all
Y values in that window when cons > prog. Flipped window IDs are stored
in axis_def['y_flipped_windows'] for diagnostics.
Moved the canonical party set definitions outside the orientation try-
block so they are always in scope for the per-window correction.
Added test_per_window_y_orientation to cover the case where one window
is globally fine but locally inverted.
SVD sign/rotation is arbitrary per window. Without alignment, drift was
dominated by basis flips (~1.9/step max=2.0) rather than real political movement.
- _procrustes_align_windows(): aligns each window to the previous using
orthogonal Procrustes on common entities (scipy, falls back gracefully)
- compute_trajectories(): builds aligned window dict before per-MP drift calc,
adds normalize=True (L2-normalise) to remove cross-window magnitude differences
caused by varying numbers of motions per quarter
- Results now in sensible range: NSC=2.28, DENK=1.90, ... PVV=0.82, FVD=0.70
- NSC large late jump (1.39 in Q4→Q1 2026) matches its parliamentary fracture
- Add outputs/trajectories_party_aligned.html with cleaned-up drift chart
- fetch_mp_metadata: use real OData URL with pagination (1200 records, 5 pages)
uses Fractie.Afkorting not NaamNL for abbreviation matching
skips Verwijderd=true records
- upsert_mp_metadata: keep most recent membership (prefer active over ended,
then higher Van date) so current party affiliations are not overwritten by historical
- compute_anchor_axis: anchor directly on party-level SVD entities (GroenLinks-PvdA etc)
before falling back to mp_metadata individual MP lookup
- test_fetch_mp_metadata: fix mock for timeout kwarg + pagination + Afkorting field
- Generated anchor axis HTML for 2025-Q2 through 2026-Q1 in outputs/
Sven Geboers