Allow analysis modules to be imported in lightweight test environments
without duckdb installed. Modules that need duckdb for actual queries
still require it at runtime, but import-time failures are handled gracefully.
Both _load_window_ids and _load_mp_vectors_for_window only read from the DB.
Opening without read_only=True caused an IOException when Streamlit already held
a read-only lock, silently returning an empty scree plot.
SVD sign/rotation is arbitrary per window. Without alignment, drift was
dominated by basis flips (~1.9/step max=2.0) rather than real political movement.
- _procrustes_align_windows(): aligns each window to the previous using
orthogonal Procrustes on common entities (scipy, falls back gracefully)
- compute_trajectories(): builds aligned window dict before per-MP drift calc,
adds normalize=True (L2-normalise) to remove cross-window magnitude differences
caused by varying numbers of motions per quarter
- Results now in sensible range: NSC=2.28, DENK=1.90, ... PVV=0.82, FVD=0.70
- NSC large late jump (1.39 in Q4→Q1 2026) matches its parliamentary fracture
- Add outputs/trajectories_party_aligned.html with cleaned-up drift chart
Sven Geboers